Dr. Kai QUEK 郭全鎧
Assistant Professor: Ph.D., MIT; B.A., Cornell University. He has studied rationalist causes of war with randomized experiments, historical research, and a comparative analysis of all interstate wars fought in East Asia since 1900. Substantive interests: International strategic interactions, crisis escalation and deescalation, war and peace, East Asia. Methodological interest: Designing experiments and quasi-experiments to answer high-stake questions that are hard to answer with observational data - such as the strategic causes of nuclear war and the effectiveness of signals.
Current research: (i) Signaling between states; (ii) dynamics of deescalation; (iii) nationalism and identity effects in Sino-Japanese disputes (with Alastair Iain Johnston). The third project is an attempt to bridge the rationalist and constructivist traditions in international relations, in order to better understand how identity concerns impact the calculus of conflict.
Current teaching: International Security; Global Political Economy; Research Methodology
- "Authoritarian Public Opinion and the Democratic Peace" (with Mark Bell). International Organization (Forthcoming).
- "Can China Back Down? Crisis Deescalation in the Shadow of Popular Opposition" (with Alastair Iain Johnston). International Security (Forthcoming).
- "Type II Audience Costs." The Journal of Politics (Forthcoming).
- "Are Costly Signals More Credible? Evidence of Sender-Receiver Gaps." The Journal of Politics (2016): Link
- "Nuclear Proliferation and the Use of Nuclear Options: Experimental Tests." Political Research Quarterly (2016): Link
- "Rationalist Experiments on War." Political Science Research and Methods (2015): Link
- "Closeness Counts: Increasing Precision and Reducing Errors in Mass Election Predictions" (with Michael Sances). Political Analysis (2015): Link
Adopted by the American National Election Study (ANES) 2016
- "Discontinuities in Signaling Behavior Upon the Decision for War: An Analysis of China’s Prewar Signaling Behavior." International Relations of the Asia Pacific (2015): Link
- "Signaling Effect Reversed." Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2017).
- "Heterogeneous Chinese Nationalism" (with Erin Baggott and Alastair Iain Johnston). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2017).
- "Security Dilemma Thinking: Evidence from a Cross-National Experiment in China and the United States" (with Ryan Brutger and Joshua Kertzer). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2017).
- "Crisis Management in the Shadow of Audience Costs" (with Alastair Iain Johnston). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2016).
- "Understanding Chinese International Kindness: A National Experiment" (with Zenobia Chan). Paper for the International Studies Association Annual Conference (2016).
- "Rally Around the Red Flag: Terror Shocks and Nationalism in China" (with Yue Hou). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2015).
- "Realism, Idealism, and American Public Opinion on Nuclear Disarmament" (with Mark Bell). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2015).
- "Rationalist Causes of War: Mechanisms, Experiments, and East Asian Wars." Thesis (2013). (Committee: Kenneth Oye, James M. Snyder, Stephen Van Evera)